An Experimental Study on the Effectiveness of the Short Sales Mechanism to Restrain Bubbles in Chinese stock market
Abstract
Since 2015, the implement of the Short Sales Mechanism in Chinese A-share market has experienced from administrative intervention bans to a restoration. The market’s attitude toward the current Short Sales Mechanism varies from person to person. Meanwhile, the role of the Short Sales Mechanism in the operation of Chinese stock market remains to be studied. Using the method of experimental economics, this paper established a stock transaction market and simulated stock transaction in the computerized experimental environment to analyzes the effectiveness of the Short Sales Mechanism to restrain bubble in Chinese stock market, and examines the effectiveness of curbing the stock market bubbles under different risks. The result showed that the Short Sales Mechanism can effectively restrain the formation of the stock assets price bubbles, and has a more pronounced effect on high-risk stock. Also, the Short Sales Mechanism can increase the liquidity of the market, which prevents the price deviates excessively.References
Vernon L.S mith Suchanek, G, and Williams, A Bubbles and Crashes, and Endogenous Expectations in Experimental Spot Asset Markets [J]. Econometrica, 1988,56,1119 ~ 1151.
Yang xiaolan.The relationship between liquidity, expectations and asset price bubbles: a perspective on experimental and behavioral finance [J].World economic exchange 2010, (2) , 33-45.
Miller e. Risk, uncertainty, and divergence of opinion[J]. The Journal of finance 1977, 32(4): 1151-1168.
Douglas w. Diamond& Robert e.varrecchia, 1987, "Constraints on shortselling and asset price adjustment to private information," Journal of Financial Economics June, 18,277-311.
Massa M, Zhang B, Zhang H. The Invisible Hand of Short Selling: Does Short Selling Discipline Earnings Management
[J]. Social Science Electronic Publishing 2012, 28, pages. 1701-1736.
Bris A, Goetzmann W N, Zhu n. Efficiency and the bear: Short sales and markets around the world[J]. The Journal of Finance 2007, 62(3), 1029-1079.
Keim D B, Madhavan A. Anatomy of the trading process empirical evidence on the behavior of institutional traders[J]. Journal of Financial Economics 1995, 37(3), 371-398.
Bernardo A E, Welch i. Liquidity and Financial Market Runs[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics 2004, 119(1),135-158.
Duffie D, Garleanu N, Pedersen L H. Securities lending, shorting, and pricing[J]. Journal of Financial Economics 2002, 66(2), 307-339.
Jones C M, Lamont O. Short-sale constraints and stock returns[J]. Journal of Financial Economics 2002, 66(2), 207-239.
Liao Shiguang, Yang Zhaojun. Research on the effect of short selling mechanism on stock price -- empirical study from Taiwan market [R]. Selected paper of the 4th annual conference of Chinese economics 2004.
Lin jiayong. Experimental study on short selling mechanism in securities market [J]. Statistics and decision-making 2006 (18), 101-104.
Li ke, Xu Longbing, Zhu Weihua. Short selling restriction and stock mispricing -- evidence of margin and short selling system [J]. Economic research 2014, 49(10), 165-178.
Li Zhisheng, Chen Chen and Lin Bingxuan. Does the short selling mechanism improve the pricing efficiency of China's stock market-- evidence based on natural experiments [J]. Economic research 2015, 50(4), 165-177.
Cai Jinghan. Research on the price discovery of margin trading -- based on the perspective of the determination and adjustment of underlying securities [J]. Journal of Shanghai lixin accounting institute 2011, 25(1), 67-76.
Zhu Jian, Fang Junxiong. Chinese margin and short selling system arrangement and deterioration of stock price crash risk [J]. Economic research 2016, 51(5), 143-158.
Yang Xiaolan. Experimental economics research on stock market bubble problem [D]. Zhejiang university,2005.
Urs Fischbacher (2007): z-tree: Zurich Toolbox for ready-to-made Economic Experiments, Experimental Economics 10(2), 171-178.
King Williams A W r. r. Smith V, Boening M V. The Robustness of Bubbles and Crashes in Experimental Stock Markets [J]. 1993,183-200.
Theissen, Erik, 2000. "Market structure, informational efficiency and average:An experimental comparison of auction and dealer markets," Journal of Financial markets Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 333-363, November.
Woolridge, j. r. & a. Dickinson, 1994, "short-selling and Common Stock Price", Financial Analysts Journal January/February, pp.20~28.
Hu Renjun. Study on the impact of short selling mechanism on the volatility of a-share bank shares [D]. Nanjing university,2017.
Zhong Zheng. Study on the impact of short selling mechanism on Chinese stock pricing efficiency [D]. Guangdong university of finance and economics,2017.